Monday, December 21, 2009

That Much Snow?? Really??

Ok, so I know we have all heard this story before so I completely understand if you don't believe it yet. However, with all of the models trending towards South Dakota, all of the moisture that will be in place, and how vigorous the low is projected to be, it looks like excellent chances of seeing anywhere from 6-15 inches of snow! Yikes!! This probably could be the worst timing for many because everyone is trying to get somewhere for Christmas. Well all I can say is leave early. If you can leave tomorrow (Tuesday) then do it. Because Starting Wednesday the weather really goes down hill for much of the Upper Midwest. The next few images are expected snowfall totals from different models and agencies in the U.S. followed by my own.

Anticipated snowfall by Model 1 through Saturday afternoon:

Anticipated snowfall by Model 2 through Thursday morning:Anticipated snowfall by the National Weather Service through Friday night:Probability of at least 4 inches of snow from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon:Probability of at least 4 inches of snow from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon.My forecast:

I did end up going on the conservative side of things, according to all of the data you see above. But, as you know, we have seen this type of system before and we never seem to get the snowfall we are expecting. Now, even if the models were over doing it and my prediction holds true, that's still a lot of snow and travel would still be treacherous. So make sure that if you are planning on going somewhere for the holidays (even if its down the street) have a back up plan just in case things get dicey.

~KDLT Meteorologist Cody Matz

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Thoughts from you guys...