We have been watching a brewing storm system on our forecasting models for the last 3 days and the models continue to struggle with what exactly will happen this weekend. It all stems around exactly where this cutoff low will go. Because it is a cutoff low (a low that is literally cutoff from the steering current in the atmosphere) it is very hard to determine where exactly the low will end up. The good news is that the models are trending to push the low a little bit further west which would keep things warmer and a bit drier over our area. Here is where one of yesterdays models put the low on Saturday evening.
Now look at today's forecast model. It has the position of the low Saturday evening a bit further to the west.
Some adjustments may still have to be made in the forecast because of this unique situation so just check back with us before the weekend and we should know some more information.
~KDLT Meteorologist Cody Matz
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Thoughts from you guys...