Reality Check!!!

Ok, I know that Jesse didnt want to talk about the snow but I think we have to bring ourselves back down to earth from the last couple of days of amazing weather. The end of this week will feel much more like November because of a storm system that will roll through. However, there is a lot of uncertainty right now on just exactly what this system will do. Many of the forecast models that we use to put together an accurate forecast are not agreeing on many aspects of this storm. But the one I wanted to chat about was the placement of the low. This is key when it comes to snowfall because the snow falls on the West and Northwest side of the low. Therefore, the track of the low is very important to figure out. Well, the problem that we are having is that every model is placing the track of the low in different spots. Here is an example; this is one such model. The low is in Eastern South Dakota which would put the snow and the heavy snow on the West and North side of it practically eliminating Sioux Falls from recieving snow (or at least accumulating snow). I have circled the areas that we would expect to have the heaviest snow if this model were to be completely accurate.

Take this with a grain of salt for the time being because it is still a decent distance away and these models never look the same way twice. So we will just have to wait and see how they look the next couple of days. Enjoy the warmth of today though.

KDLT Meteorologist Cody Matz